Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) sparks both excitement and mystery. Experts can't agree on when AGI will arrive. Some say it could be ten years away. AGI would need to avoid mistakes that current AI systems make. It would need breakthroughs in AI architecture. This is what AI experts are working on today.
Today, AI companies are more secretive. Before, research was shared openly. Now, companies like OpenAI and Anthropic keep their research private. This makes it harder to track progress. Still, some companies might already have made breakthroughs. They could be scaling up without telling anyone. This makes predicting AGI's arrival tricky.
Recently, OpenAI made advances with test-time compute. They work on improving AI's understanding during its operations. Google also adds research to support these AI improvements. These efforts may help overcome current AI limits.
In the next ten years, AI will likely advance a lot. Models will become more capable than they are now. They will handle tasks better and with fewer errors. Experts believe that AI will change in ways we can't yet foresee.
AI's path to AGI involves many unknowns, but progress continues. Each year brings new capabilities and fewer mistakes. As companies work quietly, they push the limits of AI. They build towards an AI that understands and responds in more human-like ways. The future of AI holds many possibilities, and each step forward could bring us closer to AGI.