AGI Could Surpass Past AI Systems, Yet Remain Largely Unnoticed by Many

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is the new frontier in AI. Many see it as the next big leap, moving past simple language model reasoning. The ARC Benchmark Test is a key measure for AGI. Scoring above 80% on this test is like a stamp of approval. An AGI system, much like a baby, will learn and adapt. It may not excel at first, but it will improve rapidly.

The first AGI might be less skilled than current AI in many tasks. But, it will need less data to learn. It will adapt to the real world more easily. In a few years, it could outshine all past AI systems. Imagine an AI that learns with just 100 hours of data. It could become highly efficient with a million hours.

Despite the significance of AGI, its arrival might go unnoticed by most. Few people know about AI tools like Claude or Perplexity. This is similar to how most missed the steam engine's early years. The real impact could take 5 to 10 years to unfold. Meanwhile, public awareness will slowly increase.

Sam Altman revealed that the O2 AI model achieved 105% on the GP QA test. This test involves PhD-level science questions. The achievement suggests rapid progress in AI development. O2 could be released in 2025, showcasing faster advancements than expected.

Comparing AI models like GPT-4.0, 01 preview, and O2 shows notable improvements. Each new model builds on the last, getting better at handling complex tasks. This progression highlights how quickly AI technology is advancing.

AGI offers exciting possibilities, but its path is not straightforward. While the AI community is abuzz with these developments, the general public remains largely uninformed. This creates a bubble where only a few are aware of the changes. As AI continues to evolve, its impact will become clearer, potentially transforming daily life and industries worldwide.